Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.158233 0.174850 0.191812 0.210380 0.230096 0.250366 0.272744
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.137401 0.160723 0.185380 0.213256 0.243763 0.276006 0.312532
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120327 0.148044 0.178260 0.213364 0.252742 0.295288 0.344466
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.107667 0.138671 0.173409 0.214727 0.262058 0.314135 0.375319
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095989 0.129194 0.167373 0.213784 0.267964 0.328547 0.400744
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088952 0.124448 0.166187 0.217871 0.279162 0.348608 0.432321
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081136 0.118051 0.162445 0.218419 0.285810 0.363128 0.457338
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.074022 0.111939 0.158545 0.218327 0.291330 0.376061 0.480321
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067112 0.105550 0.153842 0.216846 0.294845 0.386380 0.500061
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062337 0.101597 0.151899 0.218509 0.301961 0.400824 0.524579
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059707 0.100316 0.153214 0.224134 0.313857 0.420969 0.555902
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055269 0.096225 0.150610 0.224559 0.319147 0.433040 0.577524
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052849 0.094919 0.151718 0.229881 0.330785 0.453155 0.609296
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049223 0.091629 0.149971 0.231345 0.337473 0.467191 0.633757
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045186 0.087449 0.146782 0.230719 0.341363 0.477695 0.653894
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042052 0.084405 0.144989 0.231808 0.347354 0.490756 0.677158
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038481 0.080424 0.141665 0.230655 0.350302 0.499927 0.695589
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036785 0.079293 0.142328 0.234875 0.360241 0.517890 0.724946
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034173 0.076485 0.140407 0.235415 0.365252 0.529583 0.746506
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031584 0.073522 0.138107 0.235301 0.369306 0.540008 0.766471
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.028825 0.070054 0.134880 0.233737 0.371309 0.547738 0.783017
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.027073 0.068216 0.134030 0.235481 0.377725 0.561130 0.806724
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.026402 0.068274 0.136077 0.241387 0.389817 0.581911 0.839876